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Well, proc rate seems to be 3% (that's what the thottbot entry for the trinket says, and I ran a quick experiment on test server which gave data consistant with this - I for details, but I had 10 procs in ~250 sinister strikes and ~50 eviscerates.) So it'd just need to be made to lower enemy armor by 100*(1-(1-x)^15), where x is .03 times the number of instant attacks landed per second. Seems like it should be straightforward to plug in, although my Excel skills aren't quite up to snuff.
On a related note: if people want to try modeling Deathmantle 4/5, preliminary testing indicated a proc rate of roughly 1.5%
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