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I agree with Vazu. Even if you lose 100 points one week it doesn't mean much. If you want that netherdrake all you have to do is be more careful for the last 2 weeks of the season.
You'll find that your team is going to hover in a range of 100-150 points. When you get at the bottom of your range you play weaker teams giving 10-20 points and you climb up fast. The reverse is also true when you get at the top of your range. You play good teams giving 3-4 points so you are at risk of being suprised by one of them and giving up 25 points and the teams giving 15-20 points are at least as good as you (so balance issues come into play) I suppose it's possible to get higher than your "deserved" rating by monitoring who's queueing at any given time so you can avoid your arch nemesis team but that's just cheap and against the base principle of the arena.
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