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WibbleNZ · 06/26/07, 2:56 AM

The number of casts to get a full stack going might also be of interest. A negative binomial distribution (see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negativ...l_distribution) gives the mean number of failures before r successes as r(1-p) / p, thus (after adding 5 successes):

Points in talent : Mean number of casts to stack winter's chill to 5
0: n/a
1: 25
2: 12.5
3: 8.33
4: 6.25
5: 5

You could also investigate the rogue dps spreadsheet's modelling of deadly poison, I believe it uses a poisson distribution (the negative binomial converges to the poisson) to model a very similar mechanic.

06/26/07, 2:56 AM	#5
WibbleNZ Glass Joe Mtnaan Draenei Warrior <Strangely Ironic> Proudmoore	The number of casts to get a full stack going might also be of interest. A negative binomial distribution (see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negativ...l_distribution) gives the mean number of failures before r successes as r(1-p) / p, thus (after adding 5 successes): Points in talent : Mean number of casts to stack winter's chill to 5 0: n/a 1: 25 2: 12.5 3: 8.33 4: 6.25 5: 5 You could also investigate the rogue dps spreadsheet's modelling of deadly poison, I believe it uses a poisson distribution (the negative binomial converges to the poisson) to model a very similar mechanic.