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105 TCs with 15 resisted means you can estimate the resist rate as 14.2%+-3.6%, which isn't even close to ruling out 17% resist rate from spells, but also doesn't really fit as much as it should. However with 3.6% estimated error (25% relative error) you defintiely want a bigger sample to decide wether or not it's 17% resist or not.
All in all I bet if it's not melee hit chance (and it almost definitely rules out using melee hit chance with slightly over 95% certainity if I'm not wrong about the 8% melee miss rate on bosses with no +hit although I didn't really search for it), so what can it be other than spell miss chance?
EDIT: Please don't include trash in your counts, it totally fucks up the data and explains why it was only 14.2% resist. But again a 105 sample size is just not enough to show anything with extreme certainity even if you did only do it on grul, but of course we can always add it up with other people's measurements as long as you only parse boss info.
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