Originally Posted by Broncojohnny
This illustrates what people have said repeatedly. Casual arena players aren't going to que to get beat without some incentive. The entire system will suffer for it. I know a lot of people who play casually, on the order of 15 players or so. I can't find one who says he/she will participate in season 4. This should concern people, instead it is met with elitist nonsense about "scrubs" and anecdotal evidence as to how every class can make the ratings because it happens once in a while.
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Indeed. These changes are going to severely narrow the number of teams, and thus the rating each team can achieve. I think the people that believe they will still be capable of hitting their current ratings in S4 are going to be in for a rude awakening. If you look at what a lower Arena population does to certain EU servers, you will find the most highly rated teams barely break 2k if they are top 10 teams. If I recall correctly one of the Battle Groups had trouble getting their top teams above something along the lines of 1800, simply because there were not enough teams to gain rating from. I do not forsee quite as large a shift as this, but I do not expect to be able to make the same rating next season because the competition will be much more fierce. Once people hit their rating wall for a few weeks, you can expect those players to just fall away or turn into point/rating buyers (or sellers if they get high enough). I would be surprised to find even the top 10 teams in each bracket to all have 2200+ ratings.