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Old 05/12/08, 8:06 PM   #444 (permalink)
Siddown
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Originally Posted by Beliandra View Post
Except that you seem to be overlooking the fact that the predictions are being made regarding the start of season 4. The start of season 4. Where everyone gets reset to 1500 points.
I was under the impression the issue some people had was that after the people below X rating had gotten the items they could, they'd quit leaving nobody below that X rating (be it 1500, 1550, 1600 or whatever).

I grasp what people like Denogran are trying to say, I just think it's flawed. Basically, assuming that the system is like a bell curve, if we eliminate 2/3rds of the playing field (all on the lowest end), we now have a lot of people at the new low end of the spectrum, and a fewer people at the high end. That will then regulate as teams (in this case) progress towards the mean, and then stabalize. The number of re-rolls will likely be much lower in S4 (hopefully), give us at least a pseudo-closed system.

I guess I'm just not sure when people think this mass exodus will occur. Do they think that the "real" 1200-1600 crowd have enough points saved up that they'll only play for one week to get their Epics then quit? I think it's a bit naive to think that everyone (and their alts) have tonnes of point saved up, but I guess we won't know until S4 actually starts. My reason for posting was just responding to the flawed logic that the entire system would see a decrease in points, that just won't happen.
 
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