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Well I have done Brutallus plenty of times and almost always I am not even close to within 1% of the expected value. There is no boss in the game that is so long and filled with so many shadow bolts that you will always return to near the expected value of crit. Sure if I shot 2000000 shadowbolts I would almost certainly be within 1% of the expected value but the sample size is far too small on any actual encounter(council is probably the only one over 200 bolts).
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