Simulating GSL August

I was curious who had the best chance at winning GSL August, so I wrote a little script to simulate the entire tournament, using the approach described here: Dreamhack [E-Sports Prospectus] (Basically: take each player's ELO and ELO vs. appropriate races from TLPD - SC2 Korea - Player Index and simulate groups, then the various RoX through to the finals).

After 10,000,000 simulations, here's the group stage (the numbers are % likelihood of obtaining that position):


And here's the tournament:


I've posted the source here:
https://github.com/alcaras/sc2pe/blob/master/sc2pe.py