I don't know what your current rank is, but I worked out these numbers assuming you just made rank 6 last week (which is 20000RP). To make Warlord, you need 55000RP. The formula I used was <last week's RP> x 0.80 + <earned RP> = <current week's RP>. The 0.80 multiplier is for the 20% decay every week.
This table assumes you get standing 1 and earn 13000RP every week:
9/12/2006 20000
9/19/2006 29000
9/26/2006 36200
10/3/2006 41960
10/10/2006 46568
10/17/2006 50254
10/24/2006 53203
10/31/2006 55562
This table assumes you earn 11520RP every week (which is approx. standing 20 on Tichondrius):
9/12/2006 20000
9/19/2006 27520
9/26/2006 33536
10/3/2006 38348
10/10/2006 42199
10/17/2006 45279
10/24/2006 47743
10/31/2006 49714
11/7/2006 51291
11/14/2006 52553
11/21/2006 53562
11/28/2006 54370
12/5/2006 55016
As for how much honor you'll need to get every week, that'll depend on what your standing 1 guy gets since it varies server to server on a weekly basis (e.g. standing 1 last week on Tichondrius was 1224178CP. This week it will probably be closer to 850-900k).
You'll want to hit level 60 as soon as possible though. If you're not level 60, you get about 9-10 less honor per tick in AB and WSG (AV you get the same amount of honor as level 60s) and that can start adding up quickly.
Also, I highly recommend downloading the
Rankscore mod. It does an excellent job of tracking your current rank and predicting how long it will take you to hit a specific rank at your current standing. It needs two weeks worth of information to work; if you install it tonight you should be able to get last week's info and this week's info after weekly maintenance.
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To open up the question on an even broader scale, at what rank would it almost be impossible to make a full grind at this point?
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It takes a minimum of 12 weeks to go from Rank 1 to 14 if you get standing 1 all 12 weeks. So if we assume TBC comes out on Christmas, you would have to start grinding no later than 10/03/2006. This is the best case scenario though.