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Old 06/01/07, 8:56 AM   #1
Mezz
Glass Joe
 
Undead Rogue
 
Magtheridon (EU)
Stun Resisting Problem

I was spending some time in Warsong and noticed that my Cheapshots were getting resisted a bit too often (specifically against shadow priests).

So I decided to do a small test with a shadowpriest friend. Pretty much I just Cheap-Shotted my friend and recorded the results (Resist or not resist). This was tested with Kidney Shot afterwards. The shadowpriest had ~25% resist chance.


I did 25 Cheapshots, and all 25 were resisted. Out of 25 Kidney Shots, 19 were resisted.
I know this is not a significant amount to be stastically correct, but I will do more tests later on.

Now, according to probability formulas, the chance of him resisting all 25 Cheapshots is around


(0.25^25) * 100 = 8.8 x10^-14% Chance to get 25 resists in a row. (This is about as likely as winning the lottery twice in a row).

I know these 25 Stuns arn't stastically enough, but the chance to resist all 25 is still unbelievably small...

Anybody got any opinions on what's going on?

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Old 06/01/07, 9:15 AM   #2
Voljun
Piston Honda
 
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Troll Priest
 
Mal'Ganis
This is really strange that you have posted this. I did some arena matches yesterday and had several stun resists against multiple classes. I just thought it was the 18sta/5% stun resist meta gem that got lucky. The resist rate wasn't as high as yours, but I didn't test it out.


Maybe its just us. /tinfoil hat


Edit: People tend to be very suspicious of stuff like this. Can you post some screenshots later?

Last edited by Voljun : 06/01/07 at 9:18 AM. Reason: Look up

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Old 06/01/07, 11:12 AM   #3
Eternity
Glass Joe
 
Undead Rogue
 
Ner'zhul (EU)
Hi, i was just searching if there was a post like that on this forum.

I also have a LOT of resist on cheap shots and kidney shots, way more than it should be in my opinion.

Last week arena games, a war resisted 2*cs 6*ks in a row, shadowpriest were resisting around 30-60% on every match last week oO, cs resist, ks hit, cs resist, ks resist, ks resist is a common example.

perhaps i'm extremly unlucky, perhaps there's a bug like the metagem giving 25% or more, i don't know at all.

i'll record combatlog for this week because i feel there's something strange.

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Old 06/01/07, 11:17 AM   #4
Stopokingme
Don Flamenco
 
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Orc Shaman
 
Azjol-Nerub (EU)
This and this coupled with this or this, might be the problem :P

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Old 06/01/07, 11:29 AM   #5
Mezz
Glass Joe
 
Undead Rogue
 
Magtheridon (EU)
Originally Posted by Eternity View Post
i'll record combatlog for this week because i feel there's something strange.
Will do the same, trying to do around 100 Cheapshots + Kidneyshots to test out the percentage resist. Curious as to see what will happen.

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Old 06/01/07, 11:37 AM   #6
Spades
Piston Honda
 
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Gnome Rogue
 
Shattered Hand
Anecdotally I can also confirm that I'm getting resisted a lot.

"Existence has no pattern save what we imagine after staring at it for too long."
-Rorschach, Watchmen

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Old 06/01/07, 11:58 AM   #7
Stopokingme
Don Flamenco
 
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Orc Shaman
 
Azjol-Nerub (EU)
In case my post with item links wasn't clear enough, both warriors and priests have a 15% stun resist talent, and there's engi helms with 10% stun resist, leading to 25% stun resist, then there's the orc racial which is some additional resist, and you come to numbers quite close to that.

And ofcourse there's the mental effect of highly noticing streaks, and not noticing non resist streaks. I know for a fact that I don't notice my resists as an orc, but do notice non stun resist streaks

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Old 06/01/07, 6:01 PM   #8
yuri
Von Kaiser
 
Blood Elf Paladin
 
Baelgun (EU)
Originally Posted by Stopokingme View Post
In case my post with item links wasn't clear enough, both warriors and priests have a 15% stun resist talent, and there's engi helms with 10% stun resist, leading to 25% stun resist, then there's the orc racial which is some additional resist, and you come to numbers quite close to that.

And ofcourse there's the mental effect of highly noticing streaks, and not noticing non resist streaks. I know for a fact that I don't notice my resists as an orc, but do notice non stun resist streaks
orcs can't be priests. And even if they were, that still hardly explain 25 resists in a row, which is statistically speaking impossible.

Mental effect is there, sure, but at such a high number, well...

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Old 06/01/07, 6:49 PM   #9
Mulva
Von Kaiser
 
Human Warrior
 
Arthas
Unbreakable Will: 15%
Powerful Earthstorm Diamond: 5%
I'm not totally certain if these effects are multiplicative (80.75% chance to be stunned) or additive (80%) - but I can almost guarantee any shadowpriest you see pvp'ing will have both of these. Also lets not forget how amazing Blizzard's RNG can be with small samples.

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Old 06/01/07, 6:59 PM   #10
Xizenta
Von Kaiser
 
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Troll Rogue
 
Dark Iron
Guys, I have also noticed this lately...

Ever since I got the 5% stun resist meta for my helmet, I have had more cheapshots resisted than can possibly be explained!

Literally half of my stuns are resisted these days in arenas. Maybe there is a bug that adds our resistance to the targets for a stun. Wouldnt be the first time blizzard did something like this...

Remember when combat potency used to proc for you off of enemy offhand attacks?
OR Riposte becoming available when the enemy parried?

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Old 06/01/07, 7:22 PM   #11
Darlal
Piston Honda
 
Night Elf Rogue
 
Doomhammer
This is absolutely anecdotal evidence, but I've noticed a whole lot more stun resists as well. On the other hand, I've noticed an overall increase in spell resistance. I recorded myself resisting 10% of snares and 10% of direct damage spells over the course of about 10 hours of bg'ing. I have 0% resistance to either (no gems, no spell resistance). That being said, it's entirely possible that this was caused by lag around the corners of CLOS, vanish, or improved sprint (I was just looking at the raw numbers). Still, I'm curious if something has changed in the background.

Crackpot idea: Bliz's alteration of the silence resist formula accidentally effected stuns--which don't have partial resists--resulting in an accidental boost to stun resistance from anti-silence talents/items.

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Old 06/01/07, 8:46 PM   #12
Stopokingme
Don Flamenco
 
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Orc Shaman
 
Azjol-Nerub (EU)
Originally Posted by yuri View Post
orcs can't be priests.
Awww, there goes my dream of being an orc priest On a serious note, the orc part was ofcourse meant for warriors :P

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Old 06/01/07, 8:53 PM   #13
Ichichop
Von Kaiser
 
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Night Elf Rogue
 
Spirestone
This seems very easy to test, does anyone have a priest friend they can run a sample size of a few hundred CS/KS's on and post the results?

/wave fsb

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Old 06/02/07, 12:57 PM   #14
Mezz
Glass Joe
 
Undead Rogue
 
Magtheridon (EU)
Well, I tested the cheapshots now 100 hundred times and came to this abnormally odd conslusion:

62 Resists
4 Misses
34 Hits

Still a crazy amount resisted, the priest I tested this on was a nightelf priest.

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Old 06/02/07, 1:22 PM   #15
 sp00n
banned
 
Night Elf Rogue
 
Wrathbringer (EU)
4 *misses*?
What was your gear/talents, what those of the priest?


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Old 06/02/07, 1:35 PM   #16
Mezz
Glass Joe
 
Undead Rogue
 
Magtheridon (EU)
Originally Posted by sp00n View Post
4 *misses*?
What was your gear/talents, what those of the priest?
I'm 30/0/31 daggers, and the priest is 11/2/48. I have 7.36% chance to hit. Chance to hit doesn't effect the resist chance does it?

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Old 06/02/07, 1:48 PM   #17
 sp00n
banned
 
Night Elf Rogue
 
Wrathbringer (EU)
No it doesn't, at least it shouldn't.
Also I'm totally confused by those 4 misses (which represent 4%).
Are you absolutely sure that these were misses and not dodges or parries? Laying aside that you attack while bein stealthed and this attack shouldn't be able to be dodged/parried.

With 7.36% toHit you shouldn't have missed him and I couldn't find any hit affecting talents in the priest tree either.

Seems Blizzards has some serious issues here.
Does anyone of you both have the 5% stun resist meta gem?
Did you perform further tests with kidney shot?


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Old 06/02/07, 2:00 PM   #18
Mezz
Glass Joe
 
Undead Rogue
 
Magtheridon (EU)
I'm not sure if he has the meta gem, I'll ask once he's online again, I surely don't have the gem. No I havn't performed any tests with kidney shot yet, but planning on doing so soon.


It seems other people are noticing an increase in stun resists also, would be interesting if somebody else did the same test on a priest (fully selfbuffed in shadowform) with around the same stun-resist chance, to see if we get the same numbers.

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Old 06/02/07, 3:31 PM   #19
Arko
Von Kaiser
 
Night Elf Warrior
 
Alleria (EU)
Originally Posted by Mezz View Post
(0.25^25) * 100 = 8.8 x10^-14% Chance to get 25 resists in a row. (This is about as likely as winning the lottery twice in a row).

I know these 25 Stuns arn't stastically enough, but the chance to resist all 25 is still unbelievably small...
Oh no, that is absolutely enough. It is a statistically signficant result and you intuitively did exactly the correct computation to prove that.

You assumed the hypothesis that the resist chance is 25%. Then you said you would reject that hypothesis when you get 25 resist out of 25 tries. You got these 25 resists, so you reject the hypothesis. Your statistical significance is the probability that you erroneously rejected the hypothesis due to pure chance: 8.8E-16. That is far far stronger than even the most critical sceptics would ever require for a scientific publication. Usually 1E-2 is accepted, often even 5E-2.

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Old 06/02/07, 3:56 PM   #20
DecimusGarona
Piston Honda
 
Tauren Druid
 
Garona
I would like to see some combat log "evidence", something that would take more than 5 seconds to fabricate a result anyways.

62 Resists
4 Misses
34 Hits
However, assuming that these results are accurate, it looks like the gem could be giving 50% stun resist instead of 5%?

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Old 06/02/07, 4:23 PM   #21
Daboran
King Hippo
 
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Tauren Druid
 
Twisting Nether (EU)
Originally Posted by DecimusGarona View Post
I would like to see some combat log "evidence", something that would take more than 5 seconds to fabricate a result anyways.



However, assuming that these results are accurate, it looks like the gem could be giving 50% stun resist instead of 5%?
This is going to need wider testing however, I haven't noticed significantly higher resists from mob attacks since I started wearing the stun-resist gem. Could this be adversely affecting player stuns only, with the intended 5% affecting mobs?

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