Infraction for Monkeysnarf: General Idiocy

Kaubel · 04/07/08, 11:27 PM

Post: Enhance Shaman: The Collected Works of Theorycraft, Vol I
User: Monkeysnarf
Infraction: General Idiocy
Points: 1

Administrative Note:

Message to User:

You're being silly. Don't do that.

Original Post:

Originally Posted by frozndevl

I don't even know where to begin with regards to statistically relevant populations in regards to 1 raid being enough to base a conclusion. In short 1 boss fight can fluctuate extremely based on our melee mechanics, therefore relying on 1 boss to fight to create a conclusion is just bad math/modeling/stats/etc.

And as is quoted on a blog I frequent, results based analysis does not adequately predict future performance.

I know where you can begin; you can start with the fact that the random number generator is not random. Then you can progress with the fact that you and everyone who has EVER played this game has never observed 2 boss fights that were substantially different when ALL ELSE WAS EQUAL. You can finish with the fact that real world math/modeling/stats/etc loose their value when you remove the "real world" from the equation.