I want to revisit the Swipe vs. Lacerate question. I recently did some math based on my WWS report here:
WWS Loading...
It's anecdotal, and not a terribly large sample size, but since I'm trying to figure out my personal best TPS choice, it's good enough.
Here's what I came up with as the optimal "keep lacerate rolling" vs "just use swipe" cycle math:
My boss tanking set has 38% crit, so...
With a cycle of (after 5 lacerate stacks): Mangle -> Lacerate -> Swipe x2 -> Mangle -> Swipe x2 -> Lacerate -> Mangle -> Swipe x3, repeat
cycle time 18 seconds. Lacerate hits every 9 seconds, consistently across cycles
Lacerate:
avg dd = 58 normal 139 crit. 58*.63 + 139*.37 = 88 avg dd every 9 seconds = 88/9 = ~10 TPS
dot ticks for 420 avg every 3 seconds = 420*.2 / 3 = ~28 TPS
7 swipes in 18 seconds = 7 * 280 norm 630 crit = 7 * (280*.62 + 630*.37) / 18 = ~158 TPS
total TPS: 10 + 28 + 158 = 196 TPS
total DPS: 420/3 + 88/9 + 158 = 307 DPS
Swipe:
9 swipes every 18 seconds = 9 * 280 norm 630 crit = 9 * (280*.62 + 630*.37) / 18 = 203 TPS
total TPS: 203
total DPS: 203
Getting 5 stacks of Lacerate going:
Cycle: Mangle -> Lacerate x3 -> Mangle -> Lacerate x2 -> Swipe, then start the normal 18 sec cycle
this is 12 seconds
5 lacerates at 88 avg dd over 12 seconds = 5*88 / 12 = ~37 TPS
dot will tick for 2 stacks the first time, 3 stacks second, and 5 stacks third: (2/5*420 + 3/5*420 + 420)*.2 / 12 = 14 TPS
1 swipe in 12 seconds = (280*.62 + 630*.37) / 12 = ~34 TPS
total TPS for the first 12 seconds: 37 + 14 + 34 = 85 TPS
total lost threat for doing stacking cycle instead of just swiping = ~120*12 = 1440
The TPS difference between 280 dmg non-crit swipes and lacerate is very small. Small enough that the bonus DPS of weaving Lacerate into my cycle offsets the minor TPS loss. Unfortunately, I'm terrible at turning anecdotal evidence into useful rules like the one we've got posted on the main page (but later today I'll try figuring it out). However, my evidence tends to make me think that the 30% crit, 225 dmg swipe rule is rather undervaluing lacerate threat, so I wanted to post to see if the people who are actually good at math could come up with a more accurate rule.