Does your raid have an enhancement shaman or a blood DK? Both of them provide the same AP bonus that trueshort aura gives. Until 3.1 survival is a significant damage benefit over marks so unless your raid has nobody else providing the buff you should stick with survival. If nobody is providing the buff, it is probably worth the damage loss unless your raid runs very physical dps light.

Just for a general idea, I checked my personal dps with and without the 10% AP buff and not having it amounts to about a 370dps loss. So it probably doesn't take many people in the raid benefitting from the buff before it's a net positive for the raid if nobody is already doing it.

It's been gone over 100 times. The most DPS you can get out of a LnL proc is ES-pause 0.5-ES-pause 0.5-ES. That's it.

If you have explosive shot in your spellbook, you then forget about arcane shot at all times. The idea of swapping an ES for an ArcS to allow it to tick is not a good practice.

It's there somewhere in the backlog, but OPTIMAL will be ES - wait 1/2 a second - ES - wait 1/2 a second - ES . I've NEVER seen anyone say to use an arcane in there at all. For what it's worth (and there's some back and forth in this) I'm specced into Aimed and use that instead of steady. If you can't handle the waiting, jam a 1.5 sec shot in the middle. SpS, re-marking, a steady if your haste is high enough, will keep you from clipping your ES, but it's not "optimal".

If you can get the hang of it, you can weave a Multi Shot between the first two ES and a Steady between the latter two. But, since LnL sometimes has the retarded habit of randomly proccing off the Serpent Sting just the second after you fire ES, that could eat up to 5 seconds of LnL duration, and leave you with very little time to pull that off properly. If you don't feel like you'll be able to pull it off, just overwrite one or two of the ticks on the first ES. There will never be any rush after the second ES.

are you including hit in this theory?

Most hunters I know of are hit capped, so that shouldn't be an issue. Assuming they're not hit capped, the "crit cap" would only be an issue if they got past 92% crit anyway, which even with full raid buffs and BiS gear isn't realistic.

The crit cap could be (and is) a realistic issue for dual wielding classes who have to deal with a much larger +hit needed for their cap and have to deal with glancing blows. The "crit cap" for hunters, however, is never going to be an issue even if you have absolutely no +hit, simply because we don't have to deal with glancing blows.

How do you accomplish this without resorting to castsequence or castrandom, both of which are not ideal. I add kill shot to every one of my shots because they can fire simultaneously, but that's about it.

You mix up linear scaling with diminishing returns, for example avoidance stats (dodge/parry/-hit) have diminishing returns.
In your example 1% crit always gives 1000*0.01*1.33 = 13.3 damage, no matter how much crit you have as long as you are not at 100%. You can't get more linear.
There are things that suffer DR from crit, but those are uptimes of Hunting Party/Master Tactician/Expose Weakness where your first few crit% push the uptime in the high 80-90% marks and with raidbuffs those are up 100% pretty much.

I haven't seen this recently, but has anyone done the math on the uptime of 1/3 expose weakness? I avg 60-70% crit on ES/AS so I'm wondering if I could afford to go down to 1/3 EW. I'm finding that I can't put a point in imp aoth if I go with TM/resource if I want 1 point in HP with the ptr talent tree.

Hey guys I was trying to run some numbers, and I can't figure out the best rotation is in 3.1 and if Serpent Sting is even worth it anymore. Because of the addition of Black Arrow it will mean less Steadyshots which are currently being buffed by Serpent Sting with the glyph. What would the recommended shot setup look like under ideal conditions.