I think it honestly depends on gear level as to how consistent your numbers will be with higher gear levels being more consistent. A lucky or unlucky streak @ 20% melee crit / 15% spell crit in mostly blues is going to affect things like elemental devastation and flurry more, causing wild variations in up times vs 32% melee / 28% spell where even a "bad" streak is still 80%+ uptime for both. Patchwork is obviously the best fight to compare sim vs real world performance.
Personally I don't like to give DPS values for changes, but if you're more than 20% off your sim value on PW and gemmed/enchanted ideally, with ideal consumable buffs, then you probably want to seriously take a look at your priorities and/or rotations and make sure you're using things as soon as they come off CD and keep fire totems up, etc... If you, or the whole raid, seems to have an off night, check raid comp. Did the mage respec arcane and now there's no IS/AC? That can wreak havok with your ED uptime, which in turn might affect flurry uptime. Did they forget a boomkin/SP? Losing 3% hit can have a larger than 3% impact due to missed procs.
If you're within 10% work on tightening timings, you're doing good and likely placing respectively on the charts, but there's still room for improvement.
If you're within 5% of your sim DPS you're doing well, may still need work on priorities and awareness, but you're well within the band where your results may be more at the mercy of the RNG than your playstyle.
The sim isn't perfect unfortunately and there's a few tricks you can do in game to boost your numbers that aren't accounted for, but there's pretty much always room for improvement in your personal game, even if you consistently get the same numbers the sim does.
I would like to add that one of the things that isn't emphasized here enough, esp with as much as we throw around "sim it" is the sim results aren't guaranteed. Every time you hit the attack button with a boss targeted you're rolling the dice. The sim is just a way to coax the RNG to roll in your favor more often than not.
Originally Posted by tukez
I made a new section to EnhSim website for wishes and bugs to help me with the development. I don't always catch the requests for the sim from this thread and often forget about them. From now on, if you have a request or bug to report, please add it to the EnhSim website too.
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