Originally Posted by Crevan
To provide some numbers with what Lightforged said, here are a few examples with current gear levels.
Using my character with current ilvl of 469 dual-wielding blue 463 weapons as baseline I got the following:
DW ilvl463 - 64900 dps, 100%
2H ilvl463 - 62935 dps, 96.97%
2H ilvl476 - 65825 dps, 101.43%
So, with equal tier weapons, DW is ~3% ahead of 2H. Going one tier above with 2H will net you a <1.5% dps boost. This seems to match what others have discussed here and elsewhere.
So, with equal-tier weapons, DW is better; a 2H 13 ilvls above will beat DW by a small margin.
PS It's also worth investigating mixed-tier DW against 2h, for example 476+463 DW against 476 2H, but I suspect it will be very close in terms of numbers.
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Going back to this 2H vs DW discussion, I finally got around to running some sims with mixed-ilvl weapon setups for DW. I used
my current gear (around 488 average) with the 489 polearm as a baseline. Everything apart from the weapons stayed the same between sims. I didn't adjust hit/exp to match caps, but it turned out pretty close to them anyway. Dancing Steel on both DW weapons. The 463 weapon was
Ner'onok's Razor Katar, the 476-to-502 were the various versions of
Gara'kal, Fist of the Spiritbinder. Simulations were set to a Patchwerk-style fight over 25k iterations. Here are the results:
2H 489 83031 100.00%
DW 476+463 80008 96.36%
DW 476+476 81585 98.26%
DW 489+463 83409 100.46%
DW 489+476 85015 102.39%
DW 502+463 87267 105.10%
DW 502+476 88860 107.02%
DW 502+489 90763 109.31%
So, with equal ilvl 1H main-hand and 2H, DW starts pulling ahead ever-so-slightly with an off-hand 2 tiers (26 ilvls) below the main-hand. With 1H main-hand one tier (13 ilvls) above the 2H, you could go over three tiers (39 ilvls) down for the off-hand and still have DW > 2H.
As always with this kind of simulations, your results may vary.