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Search: Posts Made By: Muphrid
Forum: The Dung Heap 08/31/12, 4:34 PM
Replies: 30,129
Views: 1,907,713
Posted By Muphrid
Yes, the weights would suggest that, but 5% of...

Yes, the weights would suggest that, but 5% of either stat is a lot--enough that the linearized weights (which are what we have) no longer apply. The result is suggestive, though, and I think it...
Forum: Mages 08/31/12, 2:22 PM
Replies: 128
Views: 357,207
Posted By Muphrid
Okay, I updated my spreadsheet with level 90...

Okay, I updated my spreadsheet with level 90 combat rating numbers, and based on that simcraft's parameters, I get these weights:

Hit: 0.902
SP: 1
Haste: 0.575
Crit: 0.484
Mastery: 0.459

Whereas...
Forum: Mages 08/31/12, 11:48 AM
Replies: 128
Views: 357,207
Posted By Muphrid
Well, that doesn't surprise me very much, really,...

Well, that doesn't surprise me very much, really, for even below shatter crit cap, my preliminary calculations put the value of haste, way, way above crit (even percent vs. percent), but it's not...
Forum: Mages 08/31/12, 10:52 AM
Replies: 128
Views: 357,207
Posted By Muphrid
Doesn't matter. If you're already crit-capped on...

Doesn't matter. If you're already crit-capped on frozen targets, the marginal value of crit is greatly diminished. Similarly, only those spells that count as being used against frozen benefit from...
Forum: Mages 02/04/11, 12:46 PM
Replies: 442
Views: 579,303
Posted By Muphrid
It seems like in the cases where the Ignite gains...

It seems like in the cases where the Ignite gains time (is refreshed) with no additional damage/tick like it could be a bug in Blizzard's new DoT clipping mechanics--rather than adding damage to the...
Forum: Mages 02/02/11, 12:03 AM
Replies: 442
Views: 579,303
Posted By Muphrid
If revulva's found a set that produces higher DPS...

If revulva's found a set that produces higher DPS according to simcraft (and is conclusively so--i.e. a statistically significant difference at some high degree of confidence), then it doesn't matter...
Forum: Mages 01/31/11, 2:20 PM
Replies: 783
Views: 3,971,726
Posted By Muphrid
Without considering the exotic effects of haste...

Without considering the exotic effects of haste against DoTs, the absolute marginal value of haste is proportional to non-hastened DPS, isn't it? I mean, that's straightforward enough to verify for...
Forum: Mages 10/21/10, 7:50 PM
Replies: 265
Views: 918,412
Posted By Muphrid
BusinessTime: Palimor's talking about...

BusinessTime: Palimor's talking about time-weighted average mana over the course of a fight to make a back-of-the-envelope calculation, which is sensible, but it may be enlightening if we had...
Forum: Mages 04/16/10, 1:27 PM
Replies: 570
Views: 226,967
Posted By Muphrid
After reading Roywyn's post, I started thinking...

After reading Roywyn's post, I started thinking about how we might discover the optimal rotation for a given set of fight parameters and character stats. I realized that the problem can be phrased...
Forum: Mages 01/11/10, 1:44 PM
Replies: 3,728
Views: 3,454,454
Posted By Muphrid
I think some attention is needed to consider how...

I think some attention is needed to consider how the 2-piece tier 10 bonus interacts with precasting Arcane Blast during the Arcane Missiles channel. I've noticed that it is not difficult to begin...
Forum: Mages 09/24/09, 8:11 PM
Replies: 3,728
Views: 3,454,454
Posted By Muphrid
I think what's being missed in this discussion is...

I think what's being missed in this discussion is a consideration of maximum mana usage. With the fine-grained control we have of our overall consumption, we need not be constrained to a fixed...
Forum: Mages 09/22/09, 4:41 PM
Replies: 3,728
Views: 3,454,454
Posted By Muphrid
Interesting. If this behavior is not yet modeled...

Interesting. If this behavior is not yet modeled in sims or Rawr, then the static rotations like AB4 (non-spam) AM are slightly overvalued right now (or rather, it's even more reason to just stick...
Forum: Mages 09/22/09, 4:23 PM
Replies: 3,728
Views: 3,454,454
Posted By Muphrid
I'm noticing Missile Barrage can be consumed...

I'm noticing Missile Barrage can be consumed slightly before an Arcane Blast lands on the target, leading to Missile Barrage re-procing while you're channeling Arcane Missiles. Has anyone else...
Forum: Mages 09/15/09, 9:47 PM
Replies: 3,728
Views: 3,454,454
Posted By Muphrid
To clarify: Spell Impact and Fire Power are...

To clarify: Spell Impact and Fire Power are additive both with each other and Arcane Power?
Forum: Mages 07/19/09, 1:17 PM
Replies: 205
Views: 125,713
Posted By Muphrid
Edit: Never mind, that was bad math. But what...

Edit: Never mind, that was bad math. But what you do need to do is calculate Frostbolt DPS with FoF, not just Frostbolt spam period.
Forum: Mages 07/19/09, 12:29 PM
Replies: 205
Views: 125,713
Posted By Muphrid
There's one weakness I noticed in your napkin...

There's one weakness I noticed in your napkin math: that Frostbolt's proccing of FoF isn't accounted for.

One thing I would've liked to do before now is to check the simcraft results against the...
Forum: Mages 06/26/09, 1:10 PM
Replies: 3,728
Views: 3,454,454
Posted By Muphrid
The reason Student of the Mind is dismissed is...

The reason Student of the Mind is dismissed is because the extra spirit gained (and hence, extra crit gained) is miniscule. Rawr puts the DPS gain of 3 points at around 10-20 DPS, compared to 3...
Forum: Mages 06/16/09, 1:42 PM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
There's no interaction between haste and Fingers...

There's no interaction between haste and Fingers of Frost. Personal DPS is proportional to (1+haste), and that's that. Yes, I'm specifically excluding the Water Elemental to simplify that...
Forum: Mages 06/15/09, 11:29 AM
Replies: 1,672
Views: 1,157,129
Posted By Muphrid
Well, if one can compute the symbolic function...

Well, if one can compute the symbolic function itself, one has all the necessary information right there, but ultimately, the disclaimer Rawr has not to use relative stat values in and of themselves...
Forum: The Dung Heap 06/12/09, 2:33 PM
Replies: 30,129
Views: 1,907,713
Posted By Muphrid
To quote wowhead: Thus, only those spells'...

To quote wowhead:



Thus, only those spells' crits (and, more specifically, only Living Bomb explosion, not tick, crits) will count for/against the Hot Streak counter. You need not worry about any...
Forum: Mages 05/20/09, 1:23 PM
Replies: 527
Views: 951,915
Posted By Muphrid
http://static3.filefront.com/images/personal/m/Mup...

http://static3.filefront.com/images/personal/m/Muphrid/105808/gskxnbktjd.jpg

Addons:
Pitbull4
Dominos
ClosetGnome
Elkano's Buff Bars
InQuest (simple modified quest tracker)
Fubar and plugins
BigWigs
Forum: Mages 05/12/09, 11:36 AM
Replies: 1,054
Views: 909,299
Posted By Muphrid
I think the point being made is that Rawr...

I think the point being made is that Rawr computes stat equivalence values (or rather, computes the DPS gain for +1 spell power, +1 crit, +1 haste, etc., which is used as a basis of comparison--using...
Forum: Mages 04/23/09, 1:20 PM
Replies: 1,603
Views: 1,600,042
Posted By Muphrid
The formula (which is very basic, exceedingly...

The formula (which is very basic, exceedingly simple, and only valid for single spell spam) takes percentages entered as decimals. That is, 25% crit is entered as c = 0.25.

The formula was written...
Forum: Mages 04/15/09, 5:20 AM
Replies: 5,355
Views: 3,116,781
Posted By Muphrid
Something that may be worth investigating: I'm...

Something that may be worth investigating: I'm observing base damage on spells that is far higher than what the tooltips suggest (for example, a 1095 Frostfire Bolt hit while naked, untalented, and...
Forum: Mages 04/09/09, 1:16 PM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
All I pointed out is that, if indeed the DPS per...

All I pointed out is that, if indeed the DPS per SP of FFB or Fire/Torment is 8% greater than that of Frost, then this serves to narrow the 15-20% DPS gap that we see now (i.e. as spellpower goes to...
Forum: Mages 04/09/09, 12:09 PM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
I disagree with your assessment on spellpower: ...

I disagree with your assessment on spellpower: FFB and Fire/Torment clearly have about an 8% advantage with absolute spellpower scaling, but we know that the real DPS gap between these specs and...
Forum: Mages 04/09/09, 2:08 AM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
While the 5% snare penalty is a usual sticking...

While the 5% snare penalty is a usual sticking point with Frost mages, I don't see any reason to single it out. Overall, Frost's scaling with spell power is not at issue. Frostbolt and Fireball...
Forum: Mages 04/01/09, 2:08 PM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
I think ultimately the problem with Deep Freeze...

I think ultimately the problem with Deep Freeze is that as an instant attack, it would deal too little damage to be viable in PvE or too much damage, so much so to make Frost massively overpowered,...
Forum: Mages 03/19/09, 8:00 PM
Replies: 2,838
Views: 1,236,647
Posted By Muphrid
Solving this problem for a fixed fight length is...

Solving this problem for a fixed fight length is a wee bit more complicated but fairly simple if we're just talking about Fireballs (or Frostfire Bolts) and Pyroblasts.

\mbox{total fight length} = T...
Forum: Mages 03/18/09, 4:24 PM
Replies: 1,700
Views: 541,743
Posted By Muphrid
The reason your model breaks down is because...

The reason your model breaks down is because fights are more or less fixed length by situation: changing our rotation (alone, as a single player in a 10 or 25-man raid) has less effect on...
Forum: Mages 03/18/09, 2:50 AM
Replies: 1,700
Views: 541,743
Posted By Muphrid
I strongly caution against this notion. Even as...

I strongly caution against this notion. Even as a global effect, lowering spell costs shifts class/spec balance in favor of those with mana dumps. Furthermore, it puts more emphasis on those dumps....
Forum: Mages 03/15/09, 1:46 PM
Replies: 1,700
Views: 541,743
Posted By Muphrid
I disagree. The budget is the budget. Any...

I disagree. The budget is the budget. Any combination of stats that fits the budget should be considered valid, in my opinion; Blizzard simply refuses to put more optimally-budgeted items as a...
Forum: Mages 03/01/09, 11:53 AM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
Lhivera was merely observing that Ice Lance...

Lhivera was merely observing that Ice Lance cannot proc FoF at all, and so it adversely affects FoF uptime to use it, regardless of the potential DPS increase.
Forum: Mages 02/28/09, 3:43 AM
Replies: 2,838
Views: 1,236,647
Posted By Muphrid
The percentage DPS increase is a weighted sum of...

The percentage DPS increase is a weighted sum of the % increases across all the spells he uses. Figure out how much spell power he would have after buffs (all but the difference between flametongue...
Forum: Mages 02/27/09, 7:05 PM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
The Deep Freeze glyph (increases range by 10...

The Deep Freeze glyph (increases range by 10 yards) does make one wonder if a change is in store for the spell. After all, what's the point of increasing that range if we have no way to apply a...
Forum: Mages 02/27/09, 10:10 AM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
Bear in mind that you describe the "latency...

Bear in mind that you describe the "latency shatter" that Lhivera has advocated avoiding theorycrafting due to the sketchy nature of the mechanic. That said, I do believe you have it correct. I...
Forum: Mages 02/26/09, 4:38 PM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
I was playing with Markov chains today and...

I was playing with Markov chains today and yesterday, and I think another refinement can be made. Lhivera has used a 5:1:1 Frostbolt : Shatter Frostbolt : Shatter Ice Lance ratio. My calculations...
Forum: Mages 02/26/09, 1:17 PM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
Well, I would conclude that munching no longer...

Well, I would conclude that munching no longer exists, so I see no reason to consider the munching cases in any further calculations.
Forum: Mages 02/26/09, 1:10 PM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
I can confirm that chain Frostbolts will all...

I can confirm that chain Frostbolts will all properly proc FoF without any munching; I believe the reason for this is that FoF procs on spell hit but is consumed on spellcast, so for our spells with...
Forum: Mages 02/25/09, 6:53 PM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
Some points: first, I believe that the in a...

Some points: first, I believe that the in a Fingers chain of 1st charge Frostbolt -> 2nd charge Frostbolt + IL, the second Frostbolt can proc Fingers of Frost, and it will not be munched as it used...
Forum: Death Knights 02/20/09, 2:25 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 68,358
Posted By Muphrid
I say diminishing returns are insufficient...

I say diminishing returns are insufficient because on a practical level, you cannot totally eschew gaining avoidance for, say, armor or stamina or block. As I said, avoidance stays the same at best,...
Forum: Death Knights 02/20/09, 1:27 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 68,358
Posted By Muphrid
As distasteful as Sunwell Radiance may have been,...

As distasteful as Sunwell Radiance may have been, I dare say it was more of a fix than the diminishing returns on avoidance was. Avoidance inflation is one of the fundamental problems with WoW's...
Forum: Death Knights 02/20/09, 2:04 AM
Replies: 63
Views: 85,322
Posted By Muphrid
On the subject of armor penetration, I think a...

On the subject of armor penetration, I think a fair formula for calculating the equivalent AP of armor pen is...

\Delta AP = \frac{14 \cdot DPS + AP}{1539 [v_0/v+(1-q)]/\Delta q_r - 1}

Where v0 is...
Forum: Mages 02/12/09, 2:30 PM
Replies: 1,700
Views: 541,743
Posted By Muphrid
What I spoke of was specific to the context of...

What I spoke of was specific to the context of relative scaling--for example, that the percent DPS gap between, say, Deep Arcane and Fireball specs will change depending on their respective...
Forum: Mages 02/11/09, 2:30 PM
Replies: 1,700
Views: 541,743
Posted By Muphrid
Ironically, tweaking the base damage upward...

Ironically, tweaking the base damage upward (which I gather you're predicting) would only lead to more balance problems. Blizzard still suffers from a lack of overall first principles to guide their...
Forum: Mages 01/24/09, 12:57 PM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
You're neglecting the basic linear decay...

You're neglecting the basic linear decay components of these stats, not even accounting for FoF (which decays crit even further).

100 haste = 100/3279 * 1/(1+haste). At the 629 haste value...
Forum: Mages 01/23/09, 2:55 PM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
For the sake of clarity, how much haste are we...

For the sake of clarity, how much haste are we talking about for "a lot"?

In the interest of presenting further data, one of our healers (recently converted from a warlock...who won the first and...
Forum: Mages 01/22/09, 2:49 PM
Replies: 1,603
Views: 1,600,042
Posted By Muphrid
Peacemaker7: something to consider is what is...

Peacemaker7: something to consider is what is meant when one says "the chance of HS proccing." Do we mean it averaged out over all casts? Or in pairs of FFBs?

The accepted formula for the former...
Forum: Mages 01/22/09, 1:29 PM
Replies: 1,603
Views: 1,600,042
Posted By Muphrid
The formula in the first post of the thread is...

The formula in the first post of the thread is correct; the formula from the post linked was incorrect (it was flipped over). Hence I've taken care to blank that post to make sure further errors...
Forum: Mages 01/18/09, 12:48 PM
Replies: 967
Views: 403,632
Posted By Muphrid
Could you elaborate, gerryq? Excluding effects...

Could you elaborate, gerryq? Excluding effects like Hot Streak (that modify the basic, universal damage formula), at fixed haste, spell power, and hit, each additional point of crit is worth the...
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